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Evaluators and safety organisations · Article · Epoch AI

Can AI automate Epoch?

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Outline · 110 paragraphs

  1. Related Work¶10
  2. Methodology¶13
  3. Tasks¶14
  4. Setup¶39
  5. Evaluation¶43
  6. Fable 5.1 and GPT-6 Astra are broadly tied in the lead¶50
  7. Open-weight models struggle where closed-weight models are reliable¶55
  8. Models fail to learn generalizable patterns from examples¶62
  9. Models generate promising research directions, but struggle to design experiments that are actually informative¶78
  10. Models present results driven by flaws in their own experiment setup as key findings¶85
  11. Fable 5.1 produces outputs with extremely high information density¶91
  12. Models converge on similar ideas, despite a large idea space¶97
  13. Limitations¶102
  14. Conclusion¶108